AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD5
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
ALU
Al-Gharafa
ALG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Quwa Al Jawiya41%
Draw28%
Al-Gharafa31%
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.21
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 1–010.6%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–18.8%
- 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
48%Possession32%
33%Territory28%
5.7%Directness10.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Al Quwa Al Jawiya, 1 for Al-Gharafa. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Al-Gharafa
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.