AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD5
Al Ittihad
ALT
Pakhtakor Tashkent
PAK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Ittihad50%
Draw25%
Pakhtakor Tashkent24%
Expected goals
1.69 – 1.13
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 1–010.6%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–08.3%
- 0–06.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
66%Possession54%
55%Territory41%
2.3%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Al Ittihad, 2 for Pakhtakor Tashkent. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Pakhtakor Tashkent
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 51 matches, not the full season.