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AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD5

Tractor

TRA

Al-Wasl

ALW

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Tractor43%
Draw28%
Al-Wasl29%

Expected goals

1.42 – 1.13

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.6%
  • 1–011.5%
  • 0–08.9%
  • 2–18.9%
  • 0–18.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

56%Possession58%
31%Territory43%
4.2%Directness9.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Tractor, 1 for Al-Wasl. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Al-Wasl

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 51 matches, not the full season.