AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD5
Al-Shamal
ALS
Al Ahli
ALH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al-Shamal39%
Draw29%
Al Ahli32%
Expected goals
1.28 – 1.14
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 1–011.7%
- 0–110.2%
- 0–010.2%
- 2–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
42%Possession61%
48%Territory39%
9.3%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Al-Shamal, 2 for Al Ahli. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al-Shamal
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 53 matches, not the full season.