AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD5
Al-Shamal
ALS
Al Ahli
ALL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al-Shamal42%
Draw28%
Al Ahli31%
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.21
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–010.5%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–18.7%
- 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
42%Possession57%
30%Territory47%
5.5%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Al-Shamal, 1 for Al Ahli. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al Ahli
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.