AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD5
Al-Ain
ALA
Esteghlal
EST
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al-Ain44%
Draw27%
Esteghlal30%
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.25
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–09.9%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–17.8%
- 1–27.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
43%Possession26%
51%Territory34%
7.5%Directness8.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Al-Ain, 1 for Esteghlal. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.