AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD5
Neftchi Fargona
NEF
Al Hilal
ALI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Neftchi Fargona38%
Draw27%
Al Hilal34%
Expected goals
1.41 – 1.33
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–09.4%
- 0–18.9%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–27.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
43%Possession56%
44%Territory39%
5.5%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Neftchi Fargona, 2 for Al Hilal. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al Hilal
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 53 matches, not the full season.