AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD4
Al Hilal
ALI
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC
SHA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Hilal37%
Draw29%
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC34%
Expected goals
1.31 – 1.25
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 1–010.4%
- 0–19.9%
- 0–08.9%
- 2–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
56%Possession43%
39%Territory36%
7.2%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Al Hilal, 2 for Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al Hilal
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 53 matches, not the full season.