AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD4
Al Hilal
ALH
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC
SHA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Hilal41%
Draw28%
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC31%
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.21
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 1–010.6%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–18.8%
- 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
68%Possession53%
60%Territory34%
6.0%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Al Hilal, 1 for Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.