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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD4

Al Ittihad

ALT

Al-Ain

ALA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Al Ittihad32%
Draw26%
Al-Ain42%

Expected goals

1.35 – 1.56

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.7%
  • 0–19.0%
  • 1–28.9%
  • 1–07.6%
  • 2–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

66%Possession52%
55%Territory53%
2.3%Directness7.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Al Ittihad, 2 for Al-Ain. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 47 matches, not the full season.