AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD4
Tractor
TRA
Neftchi Fargona
NEF
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Tractor41%
Draw29%
Neftchi Fargona30%
Expected goals
1.33 – 1.11
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 1–011.9%
- 0–010.0%
- 0–19.7%
- 2–18.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
50%Possession36%
34%Territory37%
5.9%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Tractor, 2 for Neftchi Fargona. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 47 matches, not the full season.