AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD4
Tractor
TRA
Neftchi Fargona
NEF
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Tractor38%
Draw29%
Neftchi Fargona33%
Expected goals
1.32 – 1.20
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 1–010.9%
- 0–19.8%
- 0–09.3%
- 2–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
47%Possession52%
29%Territory41%
5.4%Directness2.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Tractor, 1 for Neftchi Fargona. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Tractor
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Neftchi Fargona
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.