AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD4
Al-Wasl
ALW
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
ALU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al-Wasl43%
Draw27%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya30%
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.25
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–010.0%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–18.1%
- 0–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
63%Possession44%
46%Territory32%
5.0%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Al-Wasl, 2 for Al Quwa Al Jawiya. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 47 matches, not the full season.