AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD4
Al-Wasl
ALW
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
ALU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al-Wasl42%
Draw28%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya30%
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.20
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–010.7%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–18.7%
- 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
47%Possession48%
45%Territory33%
5.5%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Al-Wasl, 1 for Al Quwa Al Jawiya. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.