AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD4
Pakhtakor Tashkent
PAK
Al Nassr FC
ALN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Pakhtakor Tashkent43%
Draw27%
Al Nassr FC29%
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.19
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–010.7%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–18.4%
- 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
52%Possession65%
43%Territory53%
5.9%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Pakhtakor Tashkent, 1 for Al Nassr FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Pakhtakor Tashkent
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 47 matches, not the full season.