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AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD4

Pakhtakor Tashkent

PAK

Al Nassr FC

ALN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Pakhtakor Tashkent48%
Draw26%
Al Nassr FC26%

Expected goals

1.62 – 1.15

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.8%
  • 1010.6%
  • 219.5%
  • 207.9%
  • 017.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

43%Possession57%
25%Territory55%
6.7%Directness5.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Pakhtakor Tashkent, 1 for Al Nassr FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

This competition has no player data in the current snapshot, so there is nobody to name. Better than naming somebody anyway.