AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD3
Al-Shamal
ALS
Al Hilal
ALH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al-Shamal41%
Draw27%
Al Hilal32%
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.26
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–010.0%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–18.6%
- 0–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
42%Possession68%
30%Territory60%
5.5%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Al-Shamal, 1 for Al Hilal. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.