AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD3
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC
SHA
Esteghlal
EST
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC39%
Draw28%
Esteghlal33%
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.25
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–010.3%
- 0–19.3%
- 2–18.5%
- 0–08.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
53%Possession26%
34%Territory34%
5.3%Directness8.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC, 1 for Esteghlal. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.