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AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD3

Al-Ain

ALA

Tractor

TRA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Al-Ain49%
Draw26%
Tractor25%

Expected goals

1.61 – 1.11

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.8%
  • 1011.2%
  • 219.5%
  • 208.3%
  • 007.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

43%Possession47%
51%Territory29%
7.5%Directness5.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Al-Ain, 1 for Tractor. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.