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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD2

Al Ittihad

ALI

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC

SHA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Al Ittihad40%
Draw28%
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC31%

Expected goals

1.38 – 1.20

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.7%
  • 1–010.8%
  • 0–19.2%
  • 0–08.7%
  • 2–18.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

58%Possession53%
49%Territory34%
5.2%Directness5.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Al Ittihad, 1 for Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.