AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD2
Al Nassr FC
ALN
Neftchi Fargona
NEF
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Nassr FC35%
Draw28%
Neftchi Fargona37%
Expected goals
1.32 – 1.35
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 0–19.7%
- 1–09.4%
- 1–28.2%
- 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
57%Possession52%
55%Territory41%
5.3%Directness2.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Al Nassr FC, 1 for Neftchi Fargona. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al Nassr FC
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Neftchi Fargona
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.