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AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD2

Tractor

TRA

Al-Shamal

ALS

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Tractor40%
Draw28%
Al-Shamal31%

Expected goals

1.38 – 1.20

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.7%
  • 1010.8%
  • 019.2%
  • 008.7%
  • 218.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

47%Possession42%
29%Territory30%
5.4%Directness5.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Tractor, 1 for Al-Shamal. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Tractor

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.