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AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD2

Pakhtakor Tashkent

PAK

Al Qadsiah

ALQ

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Pakhtakor Tashkent41%
Draw27%
Al Qadsiah31%

Expected goals

1.46 – 1.25

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.3%
  • 1010.1%
  • 218.8%
  • 018.5%
  • 007.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

43%Possession53%
25%Territory44%
6.7%Directness4.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Pakhtakor Tashkent, 1 for Al Qadsiah. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Pakhtakor Tashkent

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.