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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD8

Pohang Steelers

POH

Kashiwa Reysol

KAH

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Pohang Steelers41%
Draw27%
Kashiwa Reysol32%

Expected goals

1.50 – 1.31

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.0%
  • 1–09.4%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 0–18.1%
  • 1–27.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

50%Possession64%
40%Territory51%
4.6%Directness3.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Pohang Steelers, 1 for Kashiwa Reysol. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.