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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD8

Johor Darul Ta'zim

JOH

Công An Hà Nội

CNG

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Johor Darul Ta'zim53%
Draw25%
Công An Hà Nội22%

Expected goals

1.77 – 1.09

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.1%
  • 1–010.7%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 2–08.8%
  • 0–06.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

64%Possession43%
49%Territory37%
4.3%Directness4.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Johor Darul Ta'zim, 2 for Công An Hà Nội. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 48 matches, not the full season.