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AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD8

Gamba Osaka

GAM

Daejeon Hana Citizen

DAE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Gamba Osaka45%
Draw27%
Daejeon Hana Citizen29%

Expected goals

1.55 – 1.21

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.0%
  • 1010.3%
  • 219.2%
  • 017.8%
  • 007.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

52%Possession56%
42%Territory31%
4.7%Directness4.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Gamba Osaka, 1 for Daejeon Hana Citizen. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.