Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD8

Gamba Osaka

GAM

Daejeon Hana Citizen

DAE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Gamba Osaka48%
Draw27%
Daejeon Hana Citizen25%

Expected goals

1.55 – 1.07

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–011.8%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 2–08.4%
  • 0–08.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

65%Possession45%
51%Territory42%
4.4%Directness6.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Gamba Osaka, 2 for Daejeon Hana Citizen. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 51 matches, not the full season.