AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD8
Beijing Guoan
BEI
Newcastle Jets
NEW
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Beijing Guoan54%
Draw23%
Newcastle Jets23%
Expected goals
1.94 – 1.22
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.2%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–08.8%
- 2–07.9%
- 3–16.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
50%Possession50%
26%Territory36%
4.3%Directness2.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Beijing Guoan, 1 for Newcastle Jets. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Newcastle Jets
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.