AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD8
Beijing Guoan
BEI
Newcastle Jets
NEW
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Beijing Guoan61%
Draw20%
Newcastle Jets18%
Expected goals
2.23 – 1.18
Over 2.5
65%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.7%
- 1–18.8%
- 2–08.3%
- 1–07.9%
- 3–17.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
57%Possession42%
36%Territory42%
3.7%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Beijing Guoan, 2 for Newcastle Jets. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Newcastle Jets
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 51 matches, not the full season.