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AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD7

Kashiwa Reysol

KAH

Buriram United

BUR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Kashiwa Reysol46%
Draw28%
Buriram United26%

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.07

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.4%
  • 1–012.0%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 0–08.9%
  • 0–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

61%Possession41%
57%Territory45%
2.2%Directness5.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Kashiwa Reysol, 2 for Buriram United. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 51 matches, not the full season.