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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD7

Kashiwa Reysol

KAH

Buriram United

BUR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Kashiwa Reysol41%
Draw27%
Buriram United32%

Expected goals

1.44 – 1.26

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.3%
  • 1–010.0%
  • 2–18.7%
  • 0–18.6%
  • 0–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

64%Possession41%
51%Territory35%
3.0%Directness4.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Kashiwa Reysol, 1 for Buriram United. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.