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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD7

Công An Hà Nội

CNG

Beijing Guoan

BEI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Công An Hà Nội36%
Draw27%
Beijing Guoan37%

Expected goals

1.43 – 1.45

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.9%
  • 0–18.5%
  • 1–08.4%
  • 1–28.3%
  • 2–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

43%Possession57%
37%Territory36%
4.6%Directness3.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Công An Hà Nội, 2 for Beijing Guoan. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 51 matches, not the full season.