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AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD7

Shanghai Port

SHN

Port FC

POR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Shanghai Port58%
Draw21%
Port FC21%

Expected goals

2.21 – 1.31

Over 2.5

67%

Both to score

65%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.5%
  • 1–18.7%
  • 2–07.3%
  • 1–07.1%
  • 3–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

65%Possession38%
48%Territory29%
4.2%Directness6.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Shanghai Port, 2 for Port FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 51 matches, not the full season.