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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD7

Daejeon Hana Citizen

DAE

Kashima Antlers

KAS

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Daejeon Hana Citizen30%
Draw28%
Kashima Antlers42%

Expected goals

1.15 – 1.41

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.7%
  • 0–111.2%
  • 1–09.0%
  • 0–08.9%
  • 1–28.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

45%Possession61%
42%Territory47%
6.4%Directness3.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Daejeon Hana Citizen, 2 for Kashima Antlers. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 51 matches, not the full season.