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AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD7

Newcastle Jets

NEW

Johor Darul Ta'zim

JOH

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Newcastle Jets24%
Draw24%
Johor Darul Ta'zim52%

Expected goals

1.28 – 1.90

Over 2.5

60%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.3%
  • 1–29.6%
  • 0–18.5%
  • 0–27.4%
  • 2–26.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

42%Possession64%
42%Territory49%
4.5%Directness4.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Newcastle Jets, 2 for Johor Darul Ta'zim. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 51 matches, not the full season.