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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD6

Port FC

POR

Kashima Antlers

KAS

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Port FC22%
Draw23%
Kashima Antlers55%

Expected goals

1.15 – 1.90

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.4%
  • 1–29.9%
  • 0–19.5%
  • 0–28.4%
  • 1–36.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

38%Possession61%
29%Territory47%
6.7%Directness3.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Port FC, 2 for Kashima Antlers. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 51 matches, not the full season.