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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD6

Johor Darul Ta'zim

JOH

Daejeon Hana Citizen

DAE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Johor Darul Ta'zim48%
Draw28%
Daejeon Hana Citizen24%

Expected goals

1.45 – 0.98

Over 2.5

43%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–013.3%
  • 1–112.6%
  • 0–010.0%
  • 2–19.1%
  • 2–08.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

64%Possession45%
49%Territory42%
4.3%Directness6.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Johor Darul Ta'zim, 2 for Daejeon Hana Citizen. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 48 matches, not the full season.