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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD6

Johor Darul Ta'zim

JOH

Daejeon Hana Citizen

DAE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Johor Darul Ta'zim40%
Draw28%
Daejeon Hana Citizen32%

Expected goals

1.37 – 1.21

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.7%
  • 1–010.7%
  • 0–19.3%
  • 0–08.7%
  • 2–18.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

59%Possession56%
48%Territory31%
4.6%Directness4.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Johor Darul Ta'zim, 1 for Daejeon Hana Citizen. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Daejeon Hana Citizen

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.