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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD6

Buriram United

BUR

Kyoto Sanga FC

KYO

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Buriram United37%
Draw29%
Kyoto Sanga FC34%

Expected goals

1.28 – 1.24

Over 2.5

45%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.9%
  • 1–010.6%
  • 0–110.2%
  • 0–09.3%
  • 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

41%Possession51%
45%Territory51%
5.9%Directness5.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Buriram United, 2 for Kyoto Sanga FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 51 matches, not the full season.