AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD6
Beijing Guoan
BEI
Ratchaburi FC
RAT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Beijing Guoan51%
Draw23%
Ratchaburi FC26%
Expected goals
1.95 – 1.36
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.9%
- 2–19.5%
- 1–07.7%
- 2–06.8%
- 2–26.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
50%Possession53%
26%Territory42%
4.3%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Beijing Guoan, 1 for Ratchaburi FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.