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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD6

Vissel Kobe

VIS

Newcastle Jets

NEW

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Vissel Kobe64%
Draw20%
Newcastle Jets16%

Expected goals

2.20 – 1.06

Over 2.5

62%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.9%
  • 2–09.3%
  • 1–09.0%
  • 1–19.0%
  • 3–17.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

47%Possession42%
43%Territory42%
7.0%Directness4.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Vissel Kobe, 2 for Newcastle Jets. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 51 matches, not the full season.