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AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD5

Gamba Osaka

GAM

Port FC

POR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Gamba Osaka49%
Draw25%
Port FC26%

Expected goals

1.70 – 1.21

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.3%
  • 109.8%
  • 219.5%
  • 207.6%
  • 016.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

52%Possession50%
42%Territory39%
4.7%Directness7.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Gamba Osaka, 1 for Port FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.