AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD5
Shanghai Port
SHN
Buriram United
BUR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Shanghai Port46%
Draw25%
Buriram United29%
Expected goals
1.69 – 1.31
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–08.9%
- 1–27.0%
- 2–06.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
65%Possession41%
48%Territory45%
4.2%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Shanghai Port, 2 for Buriram United. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Buriram United
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 53 matches, not the full season.