AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD5
Shanghai Port
SHN
Buriram United
BUR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Shanghai Port48%
Draw24%
Buriram United28%
Expected goals
1.80 – 1.36
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.6%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–08.2%
- 1–26.9%
- 2–06.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
47%Possession41%
40%Territory35%
6.4%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Shanghai Port, 1 for Buriram United. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.