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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD5

Công An Hà Nội

CNG

Vissel Kobe

VIS

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Công An Hà Nội33%
Draw28%
Vissel Kobe40%

Expected goals

1.28 – 1.42

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.4%
  • 0–110.0%
  • 1–08.8%
  • 1–28.6%
  • 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

43%Possession47%
37%Territory43%
4.6%Directness7.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Công An Hà Nội, 2 for Vissel Kobe. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 51 matches, not the full season.