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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD5

Daejeon Hana Citizen

DAE

Beijing Guoan

BEI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Daejeon Hana Citizen38%
Draw29%
Beijing Guoan33%

Expected goals

1.29 – 1.21

Over 2.5

45%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.0%
  • 1–010.9%
  • 0–110.1%
  • 0–09.5%
  • 2–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

45%Possession57%
42%Territory36%
6.4%Directness3.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Daejeon Hana Citizen, 2 for Beijing Guoan. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 47 matches, not the full season.