AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD5
Daejeon Hana Citizen
DAE
Beijing Guoan
BEI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Daejeon Hana Citizen41%
Draw28%
Beijing Guoan31%
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.25
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–010.2%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–18.6%
- 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
56%Possession50%
31%Territory26%
4.7%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Daejeon Hana Citizen, 1 for Beijing Guoan. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Daejeon Hana Citizen
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.