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AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD5

Newcastle Jets

NEW

Kashiwa Reysol

KAH

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Newcastle Jets27%
Draw23%
Kashiwa Reysol50%

Expected goals

1.41 – 1.93

Over 2.5

64%

Both to score

65%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–19.9%
  • 1–29.3%
  • 0–17.4%
  • 2–26.6%
  • 2–16.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

42%Possession61%
42%Territory57%
4.5%Directness2.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Newcastle Jets, 2 for Kashiwa Reysol. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 47 matches, not the full season.