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AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD4

Pohang Steelers

POH

Gamba Osaka

GAM

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Pohang Steelers37%
Draw27%
Gamba Osaka37%

Expected goals

1.46 – 1.47

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.7%
  • 128.3%
  • 018.3%
  • 218.2%
  • 108.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

50%Possession52%
40%Territory42%
4.6%Directness4.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Pohang Steelers, 1 for Gamba Osaka. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.