AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD4
Port FC
POR
Beijing Guoan
BEI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Port FC29%
Draw26%
Beijing Guoan45%
Expected goals
1.29 – 1.65
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–19.2%
- 2–17.0%
- 1–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
38%Possession57%
29%Territory36%
6.7%Directness3.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Port FC, 2 for Beijing Guoan. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 47 matches, not the full season.