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AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD4

Port FC

POR

Beijing Guoan

BEI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Port FC38%
Draw27%
Beijing Guoan35%

Expected goals

1.44 – 1.38

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.0%
  • 109.0%
  • 018.5%
  • 218.5%
  • 128.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

50%Possession50%
39%Territory26%
7.2%Directness4.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Port FC, 1 for Beijing Guoan. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Port FC

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.