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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD4

Kashiwa Reysol

KAH

Daejeon Hana Citizen

DAE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Kashiwa Reysol39%
Draw28%
Daejeon Hana Citizen33%

Expected goals

1.38 – 1.25

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.6%
  • 1–010.3%
  • 0–19.2%
  • 2–18.5%
  • 0–08.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

64%Possession56%
51%Territory31%
3.0%Directness4.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Kashiwa Reysol, 1 for Daejeon Hana Citizen. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Daejeon Hana Citizen

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.