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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD4

Kashiwa Reysol

KAH

Daejeon Hana Citizen

DAE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Kashiwa Reysol45%
Draw28%
Daejeon Hana Citizen27%

Expected goals

1.44 – 1.07

Over 2.5

45%

Both to score

51%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.6%
  • 1–012.2%
  • 0–09.3%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

61%Possession45%
57%Territory42%
2.2%Directness6.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Kashiwa Reysol, 2 for Daejeon Hana Citizen. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 48 matches, not the full season.