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AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD4

Newcastle Jets

NEW

Shanghai Port

SHN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Newcastle Jets33%
Draw24%
Shanghai Port44%

Expected goals

1.62 – 1.89

Over 2.5

67%

Both to score

69%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 119.5%
  • 128.6%
  • 217.3%
  • 227.1%
  • 016.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

50%Possession47%
36%Territory40%
2.3%Directness6.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Newcastle Jets, 1 for Shanghai Port. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.