AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD4
Newcastle Jets
NEW
Shanghai Port
SHN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Newcastle Jets30%
Draw22%
Shanghai Port48%
Expected goals
1.72 – 2.17
Over 2.5
73%
Both to score
73%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–28.4%
- 1–18.0%
- 2–27.1%
- 2–16.5%
- 1–35.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
42%Possession65%
42%Territory48%
4.5%Directness4.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Newcastle Jets, 2 for Shanghai Port. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 51 matches, not the full season.