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AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD4

Newcastle Jets

NEW

Shanghai Port

SHN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Newcastle Jets30%
Draw22%
Shanghai Port48%

Expected goals

1.71 – 2.15

Over 2.5

73%

Both to score

73%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–28.4%
  • 1–18.1%
  • 2–27.1%
  • 2–16.5%
  • 1–35.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

42%Possession65%
42%Territory48%
4.5%Directness4.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Newcastle Jets, 2 for Shanghai Port. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Newcastle Jets

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 51 matches, not the full season.