AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD3
Gamba Osaka
GAM
Buriram United
BUR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Gamba Osaka46%
Draw26%
Buriram United28%
Expected goals
1.61 – 1.22
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 1–010.0%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–17.3%
- 2–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
52%Possession41%
42%Territory35%
4.7%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Gamba Osaka, 1 for Buriram United. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.