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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD3

Ratchaburi FC

RAT

Kashiwa Reysol

KAH

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Ratchaburi FC41%
Draw25%
Kashiwa Reysol34%

Expected goals

1.68 – 1.52

Over 2.5

61%

Both to score

64%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.7%
  • 2–18.7%
  • 1–27.8%
  • 1–07.3%
  • 2–26.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

53%Possession64%
42%Territory51%
5.5%Directness3.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Ratchaburi FC, 1 for Kashiwa Reysol. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.