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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD3

Beijing Guoan

BEI

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC

JEO

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Beijing Guoan44%
Draw26%
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC30%

Expected goals

1.56 – 1.26

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.8%
  • 1–09.7%
  • 2–19.1%
  • 0–17.6%
  • 1–27.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

50%Possession36%
26%Territory30%
4.3%Directness8.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Beijing Guoan, 1 for Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.