AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD2
Buriram United
BUR
Beijing Guoan
BEI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Buriram United40%
Draw27%
Beijing Guoan33%
Expected goals
1.46 – 1.30
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 1–09.6%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–18.5%
- 1–27.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
41%Possession50%
35%Territory26%
4.8%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Buriram United, 1 for Beijing Guoan. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.