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AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD2

Shanghai Port

SHN

Daejeon Hana Citizen

DAE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Shanghai Port46%
Draw25%
Daejeon Hana Citizen29%

Expected goals

1.72 – 1.35

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.0%
  • 219.3%
  • 108.5%
  • 127.0%
  • 206.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

47%Possession56%
40%Territory31%
6.4%Directness4.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Shanghai Port, 1 for Daejeon Hana Citizen. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.