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AFC Champions League Elite · League phase MD2

Newcastle Jets

NEW

Gamba Osaka

GAM

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Newcastle Jets32%
Draw25%
Gamba Osaka43%

Expected goals

1.46 – 1.69

Over 2.5

60%

Both to score

63%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1110.8%
  • 128.9%
  • 017.8%
  • 217.5%
  • 226.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

50%Possession52%
36%Territory42%
2.3%Directness4.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Newcastle Jets, 1 for Gamba Osaka. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes.