Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 12
Al Riyadh
ALR
Al Qadsiah
ALQ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Riyadh14%
Draw20%
Al Qadsiah66%
Expected goals
0.93 – 2.15
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–210.7%
- 0–110.5%
- 1–29.9%
- 1–19.2%
- 0–37.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Qadsiah will have the ball; Al Riyadh will not mind.
38%Possession57%
27%Territory44%
39%From set plays13%
0.07Chance quality0.18
7.7%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Riyadh, 4 for Al Qadsiah.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.