Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 12
Al Nassr FC
ALN
Al Kholood
ALK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Nassr FC70%
Draw19%
Al Kholood11%
Expected goals
2.24 – 0.80
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–012.1%
- 1–011.3%
- 2–19.6%
- 3–08.6%
- 1–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Nassr FC will have the ball; Al Kholood will not mind.
60%Possession51%
55%Territory43%
26%From set plays20%
0.10Chance quality0.16
6.0%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Nassr FC, 4 for Al Kholood.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.