Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 12
Al Khaleej
ALL
Al Hazem
ALZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Khaleej41%
Draw28%
Al Hazem31%
Expected goals
1.41 – 1.22
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 1–010.5%
- 0–19.0%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–08.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession44%
48%Territory43%
28%From set plays21%
0.07Chance quality0.11
6.0%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Khaleej, 4 for Al Hazem.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al Khaleej
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.